After several suggestions, I’ve decided to scrap the play-by-play aspect of the UFR feature, and just include the final stats from the game. The raw data is available in .xls format here.
Half 1
| 1st half differential | |||
| Lineup | Time on Floor | Score | Differential |
| Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | 8:09(!) | 16-17 | -1 |
| Grady, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims | :58 | 0-3 | -3 |
| Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson | 3:17 | 7-7 | 0 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims | 2:18 | 6-4 | +2 |
| Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | 3:23 | 4-4 | 0 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | 1:55 | 5-4 | +1 |
| Total | 20:00 | 38-39 | -1 |
Half 2
| 2nd half differential | |||
| Lineup | Time on Floor | Score | Differential |
| Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | 3:16 | 5-7 | -2 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | 3:10 | 7-2 | +5 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims | 1:47 | 4-5 | -1 |
| Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson | :27 | 2-0 | +2 |
| Grady, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims | 2:56 | 1-4 | -3 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims | :35 | 2-1 | +1 |
| Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims | 1:09 | 3-2 | +1 |
| Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims | 1:12 | 0-2 | -2 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims | 4:22 | 8-2 | +6 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | :11 | 2-0 | +2 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims | :10 | 2-0 | +2 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | :45 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Total | 20:00 | 36-25 | +11 |
Game totals
| Lineup Totals | |||
| Lineup | Time on Floor | Score | Differential |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | 6:01 | 14-6 | +8 |
| Merritt, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims | 14:48 | 25-28 | -3 |
| Grady, Douglass, Harris, Gibson, Sims | 3:54 | 1-7 | -6 |
| Grady, Douglass, Harris, Novak, Gibson | 3:44 | 9-7 | +2 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Novak, Sims | 2:18 | 6-4 | +2 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims | :35 | 2-1 | +1 |
| Grady, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims | 6:19 | 14-7 | +7 |
| Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Lee, Gibson, Sims | 1:09 | 3-2 | -5 |
| Douglass, Lucas-Perry, Harris, Gibson, Sims | 1:12 | 0-2 | -2 |
| Total | 40:00 | 74-64 | +10 |
Individual players:
| Manny Harris 15:58 (+12) | |||||
| Location | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | F |
| Lane | 1/4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Midrange | 1/1 | ||||
| 3-point | 0/3 | 0/1 | |||
Much better than last game. He was looking to pass when he got into trouble. A couple of the misses in the lane (noted as a difficulty of 1) probably could have been called fouls.
| Laval Lucas-Perry 7:38 (+14) | |||||
| Location | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | F |
| Lane | 2 | 1/1 | 1 | ||
| Midrange | 0/1 | 0/1 | |||
| 3-point | 0/1 | 0/3 | 3/3 | ||
LLP was hitting the open 3s on this day, but none of the covered ones. Most of his shots came from outside (as per usual).
| Zack Novak 26:47 (+9) | |||||
| Location | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | F |
| Lane | |||||
| Midrange | 0/1 | 1 | |||
| 3-point | 2/2 | 1/2 | |||
It seemed like Novak was doing a hell of a lot more than it looks like he did just by checking his shot chart. The importance of the baskets must have played a big role in that. He also made the midrange shot on which he was fouled.
| DeShawn Sims 36:16 (+8) | |||||
| Location | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | F |
| Lane | 2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | |
| Midrange | 0/1 | ||||
| 3-point | 2/5 | 1/1 | |||
Sims, like Novak, seemed to be a lot more active than his chart would indicate. Both of the times he was blocked could have conceivably be called fouls.
| Kelvin Grady 22:51 (+14) | |||||
| Location | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | F |
| Lane | 1/1 | 1 | |||
| Midrange | |||||
| 3-point | 0/2 | 1/2 | |||
Grady got much more time than he did in the previous game, and though he took a couple ill-advised shots, he was a catalyst for the rest of the offense (4 assists, 2 more assist opportunities missed). He also made the lane shot on which he was fouled.
| Zack Gibson 16:53 (+3) | |||||
| Location | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | F |
| Lane | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1 | |
| Midrange | |||||
| 3-point | 1/1 | ||||
He played a lot without much in the way of scoring, but a couple of the dunks he had were huge in terms of momentum. He also had an enormous block.
| David Merritt 14:48 (-3) | |||||
| Location | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | F |
| Lane | 1/1 | ||||
| Midrange | |||||
| 3-point | |||||
Not much usage for Dave. Interestingly, he was ONLY on the court with the “A-Team” (Lucas-Perry, Harris, Novak, Sims).
Lee and Douglass also played extensive minutes without charting a shot attempt (Douglass 9:59, -11; Lee 4:02, -2). It’s become quite clear that the best lineup consists of Grady-Lucas-Perry-Harris-Novak-Sims. Gibson is hit-or-miss, but is probably overall the next best player to insert in the lineup (removing Novak). Without Grady at the point, the team was -10 (-3 with Merritt, and -7 with Douglass). Standard caveats about sample size, but that’s certainly notable.
Posted under Analysis, Basketball
Tags: ufr
Thanks for the numbers and the analysis. One suggestion I would have would be to do more analysis to answer the question “Now that I went back over the game tape, what stood out differently?” That’s one thing that I always enjoy about reading Brian’s UFR’s; when I’m busy I’ll just skip the play-by-play and numbers and go right to the analysis section so it would be great if you had more analysis. But overall great job and thanks for doing this.