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The "3 Yards and a Cloud of Dust" Misconception

Many people (mostly in the mainstream media) have recently mentioned that Michigan is abandoning its “3 yards and a cloud of dust” tradition in favor of a “wide-open spread.” I will contend that this is not quite accurate, and it involves a misunderstanding of both concepts.

First, the “three yards and a cloud of dust” ideology. It focuses on the run game, and only passing the football when entirely necessary. While teams in the past that favored this philosophy typically featured heavy sets with many tight ends, and relied on a bruising RB to hit the hole hard and gain yards after contact, that is not the only way to run the football effectively.

Now, the “wide-open spread.” The implication of this phrase is that the ball goes all over the field (hence “wide-open”). While Rodriguez’s spread runs off-tackle, it is easier to get the ball to the perimeter with a quarterback who throws tons of screens, and can stretch the ball downfield. Purdue has a “wide-open” offense Rich Rodriguez has an offense that tries to run the ball 60% of the time (and has actually run for a greater proportion in the past). Michigan didn’t use star receivers often enough when they had Mario Manningham and Steve Breaston, so if anything changes in that department, it seems as though it will be for the better.

So, it is plain to see that a spread offense does not necessarily preclude running the ball often, and with effectiveness. Don’t be surprised when Michigan runs for far more yards this year than they have in the recent past. If the goal of both offenses is to do the majority of damage on the ground, and pass only when necessary (for example, in 3rd-and-long situations, when behind by a large margin, or to prevent the defense from selling out on the run), is it really that different? Michigan tried to keep the ball out of Chad Henne’s hands and in those of Mike Hart as often as possible in their careers. Just because Michigan is going to run more effectively now, I wouldn’t expect them to run for a vastly different percentage of attempts.

Finally is the idea that Michigan’s philosophy has been a static and unchanging entity that is going to be vastly shattered. Bo Schembechler liked to run. Lloyd Carr liked to run. Rich Rodriguez likes to run. Bo himself even had an option game with QBs like Rick Leach before the pro-style got established in Ann Arbor.

So, next time you hear mention of the “wide-open spread” that Michigan will be using next year, think critically. In the context that it was used, is this an accurate statement? And, if change happens, is it necessarily a bad thing?

Posted under Coaching

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RichRod Misconceptions

Hack columnist thinks Michigan will be fine at QB. He goes on to state that Kevin Newsome and Shavodrick Beaver shouldn’t expect to ever throw the ball. Here’s his reasoning:

But there’s something that these guys need to remember, as quarterbacks.

Based on recent history, here’s what these guys can expect when they get to Michigan.

(All numbers are rank in the country in stated category)

Rushing Offense

Year West Virginia Michigan
2002 2 59
2003 13 38
2004 7 61
2005 4 44
2006 2 21
2007 3 47
Average 5.17 45

Passing Offense

Year West Virginia Michigan
2002 108 44
2003 105 22
2004 104 45
2005 115 61
2006 100 64
2007 114 61
Average 107.7 49.5

This is one of the most common misconceptions about Rich Rodriguez that I see out there: he refuses to throw the ball. He does not take into account that maybe WVU didn’t throw downfield because their QB couldn’t pull it off.

And Pat White is already being projected as a wide receiver.

I’m a firm believer that talent is talent, and if you have the skill set to be a QB in the NFL, you can become a QB in the NFL. If Pat White could throw downfield, he wouldn’t be “already being projected as a wide receiver.” Perhaps it’s a chicken-and-egg argument, but WVU’s lack of downfield passing didn’t make Pat White a non-NFL QB. Pat White’s status as a two-star safety coming out of high school made WVU unable to pass the ball downfield. The same could be said for Rasheed Marshall, who was such a great QB that he couldn’t even make it into the NFL as a wideout. He currently reside in Columbus, playing for the AFL’s Destroyers.

I hope that people who constantly write about Rich Rod’s lack of creativity on offense eventually come to realize that he was limited in his playcalling by the talent he had available to him. Maybe then, we will stop seeing poorly-constructed arguments published.

Posted under Coaching

Rich Rodriguez Deposition Released

The Detroit Free Press has the entire Rich Rodriguez deposition in three PDF files:
One
Two
Three

If you don’t feel like reading the whole thing, some highlights can be found at the Times West Virginian. Some highlights:

Rodriguez says board members Steve Farmer, Drew Payne and Perry Petroplus also assured him all outstanding demands Rodriguez had for the football program would be met when Mike Garrison became WVU president.

“And that’s the time when (Garrison) said he didn’t believe in buyouts, and that he would reduce it anyway, once he took office,” Rodriguez testified.

Rodriguez said he considered the $4 million “excessive” and “unfair,” but acquiesced when he learned Kendrick had insisted on the amount. Kendrick had pledged $2.5 million to the WVU Foundation Inc., contingent on Rodriguez remaining coach.

Flaherty told Rodriguez that Kendrick withdrew the pledge after Rodriguez resigned.

Rodriguez said he was called by Arkansas about the Razorbacks’ vacant coaching job after WVU lost to Pitt in the 2007 regular-season finale, but he wasn’t interested. He later mentioned that call to Garrison at a Fiesta Bowl function, saying “we need to sit down and talk about the issues.”

Garrison agreed, “but we never did, other than that Saturday night before I made the decision,” Rodriguez said.

After he got Michigan’s offer Dec. 14, Rodriguez met with Pastilong and Walker. Though he’d been hopeful of an agreement, he said that changed during a private 10 p.m. meeting at Garrison’s house on Dec. 15.

As expected, it certainly sounds like WVU tried to strong-arm him more than he was eager to get the hell out of Morgantown.

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QBs Not-quite-mailbag

RJ furnishes us with a link, summarizes by giving us this snippet of information:

Sam Webb said this morning that the days of Michigan recruiting players that only play qb. Brandon McGee and a few other dual threats who play other positions are what they are looking for. Tate Forcier and all the other qbs can be pretty much taken off.

I removed all QBs except two categories when Shavodrick Beaver committed to Michigan:

  • Guys who could play another position and learn QB for emergency situations.
  • Tate Forcier.

It now sounds like Forcier can be removed from that list. However, I think the scope of RJ’s message is a little overextended. For 2009, Michigan is probably done recruiting QBs (unless they are multiple-position guys), but in the future, if there’s a Tate Forcier-type guy, they would take him. So, for this year, it means Forcier is off the board.

Posted under Recruiting

James Jackson and Devonte Holloman off the Board

A couple big hits to Michigan’s recruiting efforts, as two of their top prospects are off the board. Holloman is probably a bigger hit than Jackson, as he seemed to be more interested in Michigan than Jackson did, and will be harder to get back on campus to sway his decision (especially since he was supposed to come here this weekend). Jackson had cooled on Michigan over the course of time, but if Rodriguez and co. really want him, they should at least be able to get him back on campus to visit, as he is an instate prospect.

Both prospects will be removed from the next edition of the Recruiting Board. On a side note, I don’t understand how Clemson has consistent recruiting classes that can be described as “kind of awesome” and teams that can be described as “kind of terrible.”

Posted under Recruiting

Recruiting Update 5-12-08

The board. You may notice it’s been reorganized so the offered prospects are at the top of each table. If I missed anything, let me know in the comments to this post so I can fix it.

Added:
NC DB Terry Shankle. He’s been offered (info in header).

New Information:
TN OT Alex Bullard. Top 6 includes Michigan. Tennessee with the edge currently.
AZ DE Craig Roh. He will play in the ESPN Game.
SC DB Damario Jeffrey. Top 10 does not include Michigan.
OH OT Marcus Hall. His top 6 has changed but still includes Michigan.
IL OG Chris Watt recruiting fluff. No Michigan mention (but no mention of OSU, either). He’s #1 in Illinois.

Etc.:
Freep’s top 5 instaters. Lots of Michigan targets expected for the OSU Nike. Happy 2nd birthday Michigan Football Saturdays.

Posted under Recruiting

Keith Nichol

Former Lowell QB Keith Nichol has stated that Michigan may his destination following his transfer from the University of Oklahoma. Nichol, a pass-run threat, committed to Michigan State, then rescinded his verbal once John L. Smith was fired as head coach. He ended up a Sooner, but received his scholarship release after two years, when he saw that he would likely not gain any major playing time.

Will Nichol end up at Michigan State? He’s not a great fit for the Spartan offense, which now features the statuesque quarterbacks that Michigan fans were so glad to get rid of. Nichol also spurned the school (and by extension, the new coaching staff) once, so it’s unclear whether he will be accepted with open arms. Still, the current depth chart situation looks perfect for Nichol to come in and take the reins in 2009.

At Michigan, the offensive scheme is more suited to Nichol’s athletic ability. However, he grew up a big Michigan State fan, and who knows if he could see himself playing for the University of Puke? Also, I’m not so sure that Rich Rodriguez and co. would want a player who won’t be able to hit the field until 2009, and even then only has three years of eligibility. Since Justin Feagin will be able to play in 2008, he will have a year of game experience over Nichol, and he has more athletic ability. By the time Nichol is eligible in 2009, Feagin will be but a sophomore, and (at least) two new quarterbacks with 5 years to play 4 will be around.

So what’s the advantage of taking Nichol? It doesn’t seem like the smartest move for Michigan from a football standpoint, and I’ll be surprised if he ends up here.

Posted under Personnel, Recruiting

Big Ten 2009 Recruiting Class Rankings 5-10-08

I’ve come to realize that the commitment pages aren’t always updated by the end of the week, so if you’re a fan of a school that doesn’t get much notice, drop any commitments your team might get in the comments.

Action since last rankings:
By request, Notre Dame added.
5-3-08 Iowa gains commitment from David Barrent.
5-4-08 Minnesota gains commitment from Hasan Lipscomb.

New Rankings:

#1 Ohio State – 13 commits
DT ***** Johnny Simon
LB ***** Dorian Bell
RB **** Jordan Hall
CB **** Darrell Givens
CB **** CJ Barnett
MLB **** Storm Klein
MLB **** Jordan Whiting
DE **** Melvin Fellows
OG **** Corey Linsley
OT **** Jack Mewhort
S **** Jamie Wood
LB **** Zach Boren
WR *** Chris Fields
FB *** Adam Homan

With only 6(ish) scholarships left, this will be a quality-over-quantity class for the Bucks.

#2 Michigan – 7 commits
DT ***** William Campbell
QB ***** Kevin Newsome
CB **** Justin Turner
QB **** Shavodrick Beaver
RB **** Teric Jones
RB *** Fitzgerald Toussaint
S * Isaiah Bell

Bell will likely end up a high 3-star.

#3 Michigan State – 6 commits
RB **** Edwin Baker
RB **** Larry Caper
SLB **** Chris Norman
WR *** Donald Spencer
DT *** Blake Treadwell
QB *** Andrew Maxwell

Every player committed to State thus far is from Michigan.

#4 Notre Dame – 4 commits
RB ***** Cierre Wood
RB **** Theo Riddick
DT **** Tyler Stockton
TE *** Jake Golic

Wood is a very good prospect, but all are slightly overrated because of their school of choice (especially Golic).

#5 Minnesota – 5 commits
QB **** Moses Alipate
RB *** Hasan Lipscomb
C *** Ed Olsen
OT *** Josh Campion
WR * Victor Keise

Lipscomb is a speedy little bastard from Russell Shepard’s high school, and I think he is likely a little underrated. Keise will probably end up a mid 3-star.

#6 Illinois – 2 commits
DT **** Lendell Buckner
OT **** Leon Hill

Illinois started fast, but has since stagnated (and lost Melvin Fellows to the Bucks).

#7 Penn State – 3 commits
S *** Malcolm Willis
OT *** Mark Arcidiacono
C * Ty Howle

Arcidiacono actually had some pretty good offers, albeit from schools that offer anyone with a pulse (Notre Dame and Florida). I think he is a little underrated. Howle will end up a high 3-star.

#8 Wisconsin – 3 commits
DT **** Jared Kohout
OG *** Ryan Groy
DE *** Shelby Harris

Wisconsin has all linemen, all from America’s Dairyland.

#9 Iowa – 2 commits
OT **** David Barrent
FB * Brad Rogers

Their only commit comes from one of the least important positions on the field. Huzzah!

#10 Northwestern – 2 commits
QB *** Evan Watkins
RB * Mike Trumpy

At least they have some commits. Come on, state of Indiana.

T-11th – Indiana, Purdue (0 commits)

Posted under Recruiting

Recruiting Update 5-9-08

The Board. Changes I’m contemplating for the next update: moving offered prospects to the top of the chart at their respective positions, instead of organizing by stars. Leave comments on whether you think this is a good/bad idea.

Added:
NC WR Jheranie Boyd. Michigan was at his school in late April (and apparently offered). However, Clemson leads (info in header). He won’t decide until signing day.
SC WR Alshon Jeffrey. Offer.
SC DB Damario Jeffery. He has been offered.
IL WR Kraig Appleton. I had knocked him off the list for lack of any knowledge about mutual interest, but Sam Webb reported on WTKA that he has now been offered. Michigan mention.

New Information:
MN WR Bryce McNeal. Fluffy stuff.
LA DT Chris Davenport. LSU insiders expect him to end up a Tiger (not surprising).
GA CB Darren Myles. Michigan visits him.
MI TE Dion Sims. Sam Webb discusses his status in the Freep.
AZ DE Craig Roh. ESPN game participant.

Removed:
TX RB Jazsman Mitchell. No word of mutual interest lately, and Michigan seems to be in enough other RB/slot prospects.

Lots of new adds this week. don’t forget to comment on the potential board reshuffle.

Etc.:
Rivals Michigan recruiting fluff. Definitely disagree that offensive recruiting is the most interesting to watch this season. With a couple system-specific guys in the fold, I’d love to see some DEs.

Posted under Recruiting

Thursday Afternoon Links of Interest

Today’s afternoon post shall be a link factory, because there’s a lot going on in the world of internets.

  • Grand Haven’s 1370AM radio interviewed Michigan recruiting guru Tom Beaver. Podcast on the Terp’s Take Blog.
  • Will the stadium renovations be completed on time? MVictors.com has read the tea leaves, and thinks the schedule may be in jeopardy.
  • Interesting correlation to my post this morning, Utah blog Block U ruminates on how to build a non-BCS program. I’ve played NCAA ’07, so I already know: recruit every 5-star you can, regardless of whether he’s at a position of need or not.
  • A new and improved ACL procedure. Paging Antonio Bass.
  • To shit-talker Charlie Weis: 1-2. Maybe you should do something worthwhile before your ego gets too big. Wait, this is Charlie Weis we’re talking about here. His ego knows no bounds.

Posted under Misc.